Monday, March 3, 2014

Bubble Watch Games of the Week (3/3-3/9)

Marquette @ Providence
Tuesday March 3, 9:00 P.M. ET
This is a massive game for both teams as they head into the final week of the season.  Providence after a good week last week sits in the Last Four In category of yesterdays bracket while Marquette continues to hang around just outside of the bracket.  With these two teams tied at 9-7 in Big East play on Selection Sunday the loser could look to this game as the reason they were left out while their counterpart was just inside the tournament.  It will be interesting to see if Providence can keep up their rise into the bracket or if Marquette can finally get over the hump and put themselves on the right side of the bubble. 
Prediction: Providence wins at home and begins to completely solidify their bid while Marquette misses out on another opportunity to push themselves into the dance. 

Nebraska @ Indiana
Wednesday March 4, 7:00 P.M. ET
The winner of this game will move closer to the field but more importantly whomever loses this game will most likely be eliminated from any chance at an at large birth.  That makes this matchup really intriguing because you have to imagine both teams will know how much is at stake.  Both teams have been trending up as of late.  Indiana has seemingly came out of no where to get into contention for a bid, but they can not afford another loss during the regular season.  Nebraska sits in slightly better shape(Next Four Out Category) but with the bubble shrinking every loss could be a death blow.
Prediction: Indiana holds serve at home once again and comes within reach of a bid with an extremely difficult game @Michigan that would give them a bid.  Nebraska with this loss falls to the point where they may need to win the BTT to receive a bid especially with their potential 2-9 road record. 

Utah @ California
Wednesday March 4, 11:00 P.M. ET
California slowly but surely has been slipping in the field and they appear to be now floating right around the play-in game or just above.  With that said Utah appears to finally be rising up the ranks into at least the conversation for a bid if they can keep winning.  This point may be null and void because Utah may have to win their conference tournament in order to get in but their resume does have some meat on it. 
Prediction: California holds serve at home and pretty much eliminates Utah from an at large berth.  It is particularly hard to see Utah winning this game because they are just 1-7 on the road with that win coming at lowly USC.  If Utah does not win this game they have no chance at all because the committee values road wins very highly. 

Missouri @ Tennessee
Saturday March 8, 4:00 P.M. ET
This matchup will basically decide if and who will be the fourth team from the SEC.  As long as Arkansas does not collapse it appears that they will find themselves in the field but the question all along was will there be a fourth SEC team?  Well this matchup came at a perfect time to leave an impression in the committees mind between two teams that essentially have the same resume.   Missouri in my projections is slightly ahead of Tennessee but without a doubt the winner of this game would jump the other. 
Prediction: Missouri comes into Tennessee and finally secures the SEC 4 bids in the dance.  Tennessee whose profile is slightly weaker than Missouri's falls well back with this loss and more than likely needs an SEC tournament title to make the field. 

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