Friday, March 7, 2014

March 7, 2014 Bracketology

   All teams are in true seed order so essentially best 1 seed is listed first and worst is listed last etc....  The only team that had to move seeds was Kansas St.  They could not fit into this particular bracket as a 9 due to a surplus of Big 12 teams in the top half of the bracket so they were bumped to a 10 for that reason and Memphis was brought up to a 9.  Also I completely recreated my bracket math yesterday for the last time before the tournament.  From here on out I will just add new results to my current bracket math. 

  1 Seeds-   Arizona,   Florida,   Wichita St.,   Kansas
  2 Seeds-   Wisconsin,   Villanova,   Michigan,   Syracuse 
  3 Seeds-   Michigan St.,   Creighton,   Iowa St.,   Virginia
  4 Seeds-   San Diego St.,   Texas,   Cincinnati,   Louisville
  5 Seeds-   Oklahoma,   Massachusetts,   Duke,   St. Louis
  6 Seeds-   North Carolina,   Connecticut,   UCLA,   New Mexico
  7 Seeds-   VCU,   George Washington,   Oklahoma St.,   Iowa
  8 Seeds-   Baylor,   Saint Joseph's,   Ohio St.,   Kentucky
  9 Seeds-   Colorado,   Arizona St.,   Oregon,   Memphis
10 Seeds-   Kansas St.,   Dayton,   Providence,   Pittsburgh
11 Seeds-   Stanford,   SMU,   Gonzaga,   Arkansas/California 
12 Seeds-   Florida St./Xavier,   Stephen F. Austin,   Harvard,   Southern Mississippi
13 Seeds-   Toledo,   UW Green Bay,   North Dakota St.,   Belmont
14 Seeds-   North Carolina Central,   Delaware,   Boston U,   Iona
15 Seeds-   Georgia St.,   Vermont,   Davidson,   Mercer
16 Seeds-   UC Irvine,   Robert Morris,   Utah Valley/Alabama St.,   Weber St./High Point 

Last four byes:   Providence,   Pittsburgh,   Stanford,   SMU
Last four in:   Florida St.,   Xavier,   Arkansas,   California 
First four out:   Missouri,   Nebraska,   Georgetown,   Minnesota
Next four out:   Marquette,   St. John's,   Tennessee,   Utah 
Others considered: West Virginia,   Louisiana Tech,   BYU,   Illinois,   Indiana,   LSU,   Richmond,   North Carolina St.,   Clemson

The reason I have BYU so far down is because their surplus of sub 150 losses really brought their overall value down in my bracket math.  They have by far the worst caliber of losses of anyone near the bubble and have several of them on their resume.  I don't know if the committee will eliminate those from their mind because of the strength of some of their wins but based on what the committee has done before I would guess they will be well out of the field as of now.  I understand they have a strong RPI but in reality we are talking about a team that is (20-10) in a down WCC that just doesn't resound as stellar to me when teams from power conferences have similar caliber wins and less profile killing losses.  

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